Numerical answers are given as ranges or other hints, meant to facilitate checking for gross departures from the right track, without revealing the precise answer so that shortcuts are discouraged. Questions for which the answer is already known (questions asking to verify an answer), easily validated in the text, or that are a matter of original thought or opinion may not be included here.
The ranges sometimes may be annoyingly large, but think of them as guard rails to prevent a tragic miscalculation or to catch a fundamental misunderstanding of the underlying concepts. It can help catch errors like dividing the wrong things or swapping numerator and denominator, or multiplying when division is called for. In many cases, intuition, or guessing, might lead you already to similar answers or ranges. With practice, students may be able to anticipate what they think are reasonable ranges for answers. In fact, it is a great practice to think about expectations before working on the problem.
This appendix, then, might be thought of as an “intuition implant” that simulates how problems are for experts. Real life does not provide “answers at the back of the book,” so experts rely on experience, intuition, and a sense for “reasonable” results to help them understand when they’ve taken a wrong turn. A successful use of this appendix would help train students to develop their own “common sense” guard rails.
Chapter 1¶
Between 250 and 300 years
Between 250 and 300 years
Between 1018 and 1020
Between 100 and 150
More than 1040
Between 5 and 500
Later than 23:50
Before 12:10 AM
Between 10 and 40 years
Between 75 and 100 years
Between 300 and 500 billion
It’s not 100 times longer
A few millennia
Between 50 and 100 W
A smidge higher than boiling
Between 200 and 250 K
Between 150 and 250 K
Between 100 and 275 K
Chapter 2¶
Nearly $100 billion
4%: $1 trillion; 5%: more than $100 trillion
On the low end of advanced countries
Between 25 and 100 MJ/$
Between 5% and 50%
The text had trading art, singing lessons, therapy, and financial planning
Between 100 and 1,000; Less than 10 to go
Between 20 and 100 years
May help to think of something once prevalent, now rare
Especially fruitful might be biological dependencies
It can’t all be free of material substance
Chapter 3¶
Less than a third
Comparable to U.S. population today
Comparable to world population 200 years ago
Table 3.2 offers a rough check
Over 16 billion; less than half the time we now experience
Pretty close to Table 3.2 except for first two entries
Answer must be less than 14 billion; whereas Problem 6 was in excess of 15 billion
Two are negative; three are positive
Between 1 and 5%
Add almost a half million; more than half million born; less than half million died
Answers should round to the table values
Only one country in the table creates more total demand, and only two have higher per-citizen contributions
Correct results are in the table
See Figure 3.15
This is why Africa gets attention, while North America is perhaps a greater concern.
It nearly triples
Area is key
Lesotho is relevant
Chapter 4¶
Earth: smaller than peppercorn and basketball-court distant; Moon: sand grain a hand’s width away
Comparable to the actual Earth radius
1 AU = 1 km; Earth 1/12,000 km
A fast walk or slow jog
Think about the subtended angle
Multiply sets to get accumulated scale factors
A good deal farther than the moon, but still well short of the sun/Mars
Ratio is more than a billion, and would take more than 4 lifetimes
Think in terms of area as fraction of plot space
Text has climbing Mt. Everest, supersonic commercial flight, squirrel obstacle course, and economic decoupling
Will take 15–20 tanks of gas, and achieve a fuel economy a factor of 30 or so below typical cars
Double the gasoline from previous problem; gasoline mass almost as much as the car itself
Chapter 5¶
Several inches
About the length of a typical room
A few kJ total, most in sliding
You’ve got this
Nearly 1 GJ
Two of the points in Example 5.2.1 offer guidance
Figure 5.1 offers hints
Roughly half human metabolic power
Less than 5 seconds
Between 50–100 kcal (200–400 kJ)
Sensibly, a little less than 2 minutes
Results should be roughly consistent with Figure 5.2
A bit less than 10% of household electricity
They’re actually close, within 10%
More than two
Several kWh; less than $1
On the low end of the human metabolism range; the equivalent cost of 10–20 burritos
A few hundred W
Comparable to running a clothes dryer (Fig. 5.2)
Several hundred MJ
Over 100 kWh; 2–4 burritos-worth
Several Therms; cost of fast-food lunch
Several gallons; cost of fast-food lunch for two
One is about twice the other
A little in excess of 10 kW
Less than a quarter of estimated
Between 1 and 2 hours per day
The largest number is near 108
Six of the entries are inverses of six others
A little over an Amp
Nearly 10 kW; will cost over $1,000; don’t do this!
Will last 2–3 hours
In line with most chemical reactions, in the 50–200 kJ/mol range
Between 3– J per photon; get more than sec
In the neighborhood of 1 or 1 eV
Chapter 6¶
Approx. 200 kJ, depending on mass
Several minutes
Several minutes
About 5 minutes
A few hours
Not below freezing
Not quite up to “room” temperature
Not quite half the time
The cost of two burritos per day
Instances of heat/flame causing movement
See Table 6.2
Roughly 30 kJ and 100 J/K
Between 5–10%
A couple dozen percent, roughly
Pushing 100%, but not quite there
Achieves about 1/3 of theoretical
; environment not that cold
Close to a dozen kJ
Twice, twice
Just short of 5 years
Chapter 7¶
a) between 30–40%; b) almost all; c) close to 2/3; d) roughly a quarter
Coal is near 12 qBtu, for instance
Nuclear is about 22%, for instance
Residential is about 5 qBtu, for instance
Industry is a little over 30%, for instance
About 14% is renewable, for instance
Less than 10%
Between 5 and 10%
It is one of the fossil fuels
Well over 100 years
Surprisingly soon: maybe before student loans paid off
Nothing to see here
Nothing to see here
Pay attention to the dashed line
Pay attention to the dashed line
Chapter 8¶
All lines overlap the up-slope
Likely vs. hopeful?
Many features unchanged
Won’t be zero into future
What enabled, then disappeared?
Opposite of ideal
Did not behave like U.S.
Based on energy density
Chapter 9¶
A single integer works okay for all three
Nearly 100 kg
Between 10–15 kg
Approaching 1 GJ, and human-mass scale
Total is like small adult or large child
More than a factor of two
Get about 50 years; rate not constant
The numbers basically match
Between 1–2 ppm, in agreement with Figure 9.3
What is it we know?
Seems deserving of high marks
Historical vs. current activity levels
About cooler than actual
Two pure cases and one partial
Several degrees warmer
Very good for us at the right level
Numbers are not far from realistic
Triple pre-industrial and almost
End high; almost linear, but not quite
No need to balance: Nature doesn’t bother
It’s no game-changer
Student’s choice
E.g., for a match
Use 290.6 K; looks like continuation of panel progression
A few millimeters
A little over a century
A year or two
A couple of degrees
Sum to about 700 years; almost all in ice and ocean
A few hundred meters
A finger’s breadth per year
Keen to hear your thoughts
Keen to hear your thoughts
Chapter 10¶
Mostly clean; not all, though
Nothing is free
What would unlimited mean?
Table 10.2 has some help
Can’t rely on any sun-driven energy
Between 200–250
Photosynthesis supports essentially all life
Comparing numbers in TW
More than half
A little less than 1%
Not far from 1,000
Nearly 10 degrees
Look for crazy-big input
Between 0.5–1 gallon
More than
Chapter 11¶
Roughly 20 kJ
About 10 stories of a building
Close to 0.1 kJ
About 4 times higher than airliners travel
About two-thirds Earth radius
Try using half the mass and half the energy
Cube is roughly as big as height from ground
About 6 times typical nuclear plant
Nearly 200 m
A little shy of 500
Between 50–75%
Roughly 50%
About a million homes
Approaching 10,000 cubic meters per second
You’ve got a little over an hour
Less than 1 TW in the end
Between 1–2 meters
Chapter 12¶
A few Joules
Roughly
Something like 10 m/s
Mass shows up in both and
In the neighborhood of 1,500 m/s
About 5–10 humans–worth of mass!
Comparable to the height of Mt. Everest
Around about 8 times
Follow the cube…
Runs approximately 10 kW to 1 MW
Roughly two-thirds the original speed
Close to 10 MW
Closer to 10 m/s than to 15 m/s
Almost double freeway speeds
Between 5–10 m/s
In the ballpark of 70 kW
Recover 0.65%
Unpack to confirm
Outer box area corresponds to running at 100%, full time
Definitely less than 50%
Looks like a factor of 8
Approaching (American) football field length
Approximately 1 MW
They may not have equivalent energy needs
Chapter 13¶
How big are the packages?
Something times 1021
Roughly 1016
About 1,000
About 4,000 times
Use Eq. 13.3 to guide your reasoning
Should match Figure 13.1
One micron for each finger?
Think about spill-over into UV and/or IR
Peak around , about 1 wide; matches up well
Think energetics and depth
Is the answer transparent?
Just comparing two energies
Several hundred km/s
Condense the saga to that of a winner
Answer might involve physics, biology, rooftops
Inversely: larger in one means smaller in the other
Already extremely similar
Think of current as a rate of electron flow in the circuit
Get very close to 1,360
Sweltering is not preferred
Between 5–6 day; between 200–250
Involves interpreting day as full-sun-hours
Not far from 200
Range straddles 200 , varying about 10%
Best at latitude; almost 15% better than flat
Approaches 6 day
Large house (and just the PV for one person)
Square is about as wide as Arizona or California east-to-west
Cost, surely—but other challenges and mismatches as well
A little over 200 W
Roughly the size of a bedroom
Will spend a little over $4,000
A little over a decade
Even lower than from insolation vs. overhead
About $2-worth of sun
Hint: study Figures 13.23 and 13.24
In absolute terms…
Chapter 14¶
About a dozen tons of CO
Between 0.1–0.5%
Almost 100 logs per person per year
In the neighborhood of half-dozen logs per day
Won’t be exactly 15 years, but close
Almost 1.5 L of ethanol
Roughly consistent with Table 14.1 for coal
Net is one-third production
Extra land is twice the yield-land
A bit longer than a U.S. Presidential term
Nothing to spare
Corn now approximately 15% as much as this; still more than total arable land
Box barely fits north–south in U.S.
Personal preferences play a role
Chapter 15¶
A blueberry
Use to get there
Should match quite well
Two diagonals have no gray squares
One has a half-life longer than a million years
Roughly twice as old as agriculture
Between 1–2%
One is about 3% of the other (both decay)
Step right
That last step might take a while
Two decays do it
Sand does the job
Somewhere between a car and a bus?
Close to 1 kg
Around a couple-dozen micrograms
Table should match
Energy has a mass, via
Adds about 1% to the mass
Not far from 1,500 MeV
Not much
Figure 15.14 is relevant
It’s a strontium isotope
is twice a prime number
Stick to 80 and 125 to respect distributions
Mid-20s of MeV
From steam onwards, it’s basically the same
Between 3 and 5 cents per kWh
A few per week!
Around 20 tons per year (more in reality)
Almost 2 million tons
A few hundred tons
Less than a decade
Two stand out
Centuries
More often than once every two years
A nearly exact match!
Worked out in text: no calculation necessary—just interpretation
Energy jump size
Like a milk jug
Chapter 16¶
Shortfall is more than a factor of 200
A bit farther than the record
About as thick as a six-story building is tall
Ranges about 55–85%
Geothermal is a bit less than 1% of alternative electricity
A little shy of the 8 m design height, sensibly
Works out
Diameter like a small house’s footprint
Comparable to human metabolism; 1% of American demand
A little more than 6 times that in Example 16.4.1
Chapter 17¶
Algae who?
Two words almost say it all
Fine if it is a little shy: transfer rates vary
Think about what a house can access, and steam plants
May be up there with solar (4 to 6, likely)
Chapter 18¶
16 equal portions
Predicts largest well; not too far on smallest
Gaping disparities on opposite poles is no random fluke
Brilliant future if you can figure out effective ways
How else will change happen? (but elaborate…)
Will contribute 2–3% of the annual total
A bit over half the global energy budget!
Two approaches: cynical or hopeful; make either pitch
In the hundreds
I was hoping you had some ideas
Chapter 19¶
Still could be a parasite, even if larger than a flea
Easier to break than make
What things are dependent on growth to operate normally?
What limits?
Does it bear on humanity in some way?
Wait; who has my…
Focus on what has mattered until now
What’s the alternative?
Please figure out how it can work!
Is this the movie version, or the real-life one?
Chapter 20¶
What needs to happen to avert?
Focus on demonstrable new conditions that likely push limits
Obligations of reality?
Some things are out of our control
What type of activity tends to consume a lot of power?
Duty cycle
Proportional to
Gasoline is about 4 times the other two
Just a bit less than average in all categories
Close to twice the gas is used in the form of electricity
Both in the same neighborhood
Big disparity; which is more likely?
S.U.V. might not make the cut, but smaller cars will
Surprisingly far: almost two-thirds of the way
Is six-sevenths a coincidence?
As if one day a week is all dairy/eggs
Is it directed or emergent?
Think frivolous or huge resource demand
Do your best: might prevent the worst
Can you even tell the needle isn’t at full?